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Real-Time River Water Quality Prediction Model Based on Spatial Correlation and Neural Network Model
ZHANG Yang, XIAN Huiting, ZHAO Zhijie
Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Pekinensis    2022, 58 (2): 337-344.   DOI: 10.13209/j.0479-8023.2021.126
Abstract648)   HTML    PDF(pc) (1547KB)(125)       Save
Based on the high frequency water quality online monitoring data, the spatial correlation of water quality data was used to construct a neural network model to realize the real-time prediction of river water quality. The model was applied to the Baini River Basin in Guangzhou, and the water quality parameters of dissolved oxygen and ammonia nitrogen were predicted and analyzed to verify the effect of the model. According to different prediction time, six water quality prediction models were built, and the results showed that the model predicting dissolved oxygen 6 hours in advance had better prediction effect, while the model predicting ammonia nitrogen 24 hours in advance had better effect. The average absolute errors of the better trained model for real-time water quality prediction of dissolved oxygen and ammonia nitrogen were 0.43 mg/L and 0.29 mg/L, respectively, and the root mean square errors were 0.71 mg/L and 0.36 mg/L, respectively. At 95% confidence level, the prediction interval coverage rates were 96.6% and 97% respectively. The model can be used as the early warning of abnormal water quality events. At the same time, the sensitivity analysis of the input items by the model can be used to analyze the pollution sources to help the basin identify the main sources of pollutants. 
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Research on Flood Risk Assessment of Floodplains from Huayuankou to Aishan Section in the Lower Yellow River
SUN Yuhang, CHENG Shupeng, ZHANG Qi, DU Pengju, LI Zhenshan, ZHAO Zhijie
Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Pekinensis    2021, 57 (3): 575-586.   DOI: 10.13209/j.0479-8023.2021.027
Abstract578)   HTML    PDF(pc) (1480KB)(156)       Save
The Delft3D model was used to simulate the flooding process on floodplains of the Lower Yellow River, and the flood disaster parameters such as flooding range and flooding depth were statistically calculated from the model. The process of giving the flood risk’s spatial distribution of the plains includes dividing the hazard-vulnerability units and calculating the hazard and vulnerability of each unit according to the topography and flood-control measures. The United Nations risk assessment index system is used to give out the spatial distribution of the flood risk for each inundation unit. The results show that the relationship between flood risk and flood scenarios response across the study area can be divided into three categories. About 50% of the plain are under “simultaneous flooding and risks”, which means the flood risk level generally varies with the flood scenario. 39.7% of the plains own the trait of “low flooding frequency leads to giant risks”, and for the unit of this category basically has the extreme risk even for the 10-year frequency floods. 11.67% of the plain are stable at a relatively low risk situation, and the flood risk is not affected by the magnitude of the flood, which is classified as “stable low risks”. In order to prevent the flood risk of the Lower Yellow River, the flooding unit of “low flooding frequency leads to giant risks” mainly distributed in Gaocun to Aishan section should give a priority to take the action, and the flood situation of once every ten years or even once every five years should be taken as the reference basis for building flood prevention measures.
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Landscape Pattern Characteristics of Land Use along the Wide Reaches of the Lower Yellow River
CHENG Shupeng, SUN Yuhang, JIANG Hanlin, ZHAO Zhijie, LI Zhenshan, XUE An
Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Pekinensis    2020, 56 (3): 479-490.   DOI: 10.13209/j.0479-8023.2020.022
Abstract886)   HTML    PDF(pc) (2882KB)(155)       Save
Based on the 15 m×15 m spatial distribution raster data of 11 types of land use in 2015 and the landscape pattern index, the landscape pattern characteristics of land use in the counties, floodplains and flood detention areas along the wide reaches of the Lower Yellow River, and gradient characteristics of the landscape patterns of land use in the 18 2km-buffer zones on both sides, are compared and analyzed. The results show that the dry farmland is the dominant landscape within the counties along the wide reaches, followed by the rural residential land, and they account for more than 80% of the total area of the counties. The paddy fields and the other categories of waters have a certain scale and the scale of the grassland is small. Influenced by factors such as functional orientation and natural conditions, there are obvious spatial differences in land use landscape patterns in the counties, floodplains and flood detention areas along the wide reaches of the Lower Yellow River. There are large-scale and densely-distributed construction land in the extra-floodplains area of the counties, the landscape fragmentation of which is high and the patch shape is complex. The landscape diversity of the Dongping Lake flood detention area is high, showing a complex ecological landscape with waters as the main body, and in the other two flood detention areas, the scale of woodland and grassland is small, the patch density and the landscape heterogeneity is low. The overall landscape fragmentation in the wide reaches’ floodplains is lower than that in the extra-floodplains area, the landscape diversity of the wandering reaches’ floodplains is relatively high, and the construction land is relatively large. Within 6 km of the two sides of the wide reaches, the paddy fields and the other categories of waters are large in scale and densely distributed, the scale of the urban land is small, and the overall landscape diversity in this region is high and relatively fragmented; the transition region is from about 6 km to 18 km; the landscape patterns tends to be stable over 20 km away.
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A Study of Pollutant Loads Variations in Shenzhen River Estuary in Recent Decade
YU Yi, SONG Fang, ZHAO Zhijie, QIN Huapeng, DUAN Yujie, YAO Lijuan, WANG Zhengjun
Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Pekinensis    2020, 56 (3): 460-470.   DOI: 10.13209/j.0479-8023.2020.015
Abstract831)   HTML    PDF(pc) (3100KB)(197)       Save
This study applies a LOADEST model to hydrology and water quality data from 2008 to 2017 to examine the variation of pollutant loads in Shenzhen River estuary. These investigated pollutants include COD, NH3-N, TN and TP. The result from the LOADEST model, alone with situation of both precipitation and wastewater treatment plants, are used to analyze both natural and artificial impacts on the pollutants. The research concludes the following statements. 1) The net pollutant loads in Shenzhen River decreased significantly from 2008 to 2017, but still not enough to reach level V for river water quality standard (GB3838–2002). 2) The seasonal variations of net pollutant loads reduced from 2008 to 2017. 3) There is a strong correlation between precipitation and COD net load, which indicates that this pollutant is mainly originated from non-point sources. Precipitation and NH3-N, TN and TP net loads have weak correlations, which means that point sources are the main contributors of these pollutants. 4) There is a negative correlation between net pollutant loads and the amount of treated wastewater. This illustrates the enhanced capacity of waste water treatment plants, as well as the improved quality of discharged treated water will contribute to better water quality in Shenzhen River.
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Land Use/Cover and Influence Factors in the Lower Yellow River
XIE Yuqian, CHENG Shupeng, ZHANG Yanqing, ZHANG Qi, JIANG Hanlin, LI Zhenshan, ZHAO Zhijie
Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Pekinensis    2019, 55 (3): 489-500.   DOI: 10.13209/j.0479-8023.2019.013
Abstract947)   HTML    PDF(pc) (6752KB)(239)       Save
Based on the satellite remote sensing image of the lower Yellow River in 2015–2017, adopting the method of manual interpretation, with ArcGIS, the paper analyzes the present distribution of land use/cover type of the lower Yellow River. Based on social and economic statistics, analyze the factors are analyzed affecting the distribution of land use/cover in the lower Yellow River. The results show that the land use/cover on the lower reaches of the Yellow River is mainly used for development, among which the most priority is the cultivated land without facilities, which is accounting for 77.99%, followed by land for survival, accounting for 6.63%. The width of river, the area of the land, the village and the land for industry of the part from Taohuayu to Gaocun is more than that of other parts. The type of land use/cover of the lower Yellow River is quite simple. The area of the land of the lower Yellow River, the economic situation, the attraction of the city development and the water conservancy facilitie around affects land use/cover. The area of the village, the farm land with facilities and brickyard grows with the area of land. The fish ponds and the land for industry appear mostly in lands with better economic situation. Farm land with facilities and land for industry appear mostly in those lands near downtown.
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Water Source Apportionment of Pollutions in Shenzhen Bay Basin
SONG Fang, QIN Huapeng, CHEN Sidian, ZHAO Zhijie
Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Pekinensis    2019, 55 (2): 317-328.   DOI: 10.13209/j.0479-8023.2018.097
Abstract927)   HTML    PDF(pc) (2437KB)(502)       Save

By using pollution source survey data, sewage treatment plant data, sediment monitoring results and SWMM, this study estimated the non-point source and overflow load of the basin. By analyzing the spatial and temporal distribution of major pollutants, the following results were obtained. 1) The chemical oxygen demand (COD), ammonia nitrogen (NH3-N) and total phosphorous (TP) loads in Shenzhen River basin in 2015 were 36760 t/a, 5715.65 t/a and 494.36 t/a, respectively. The COD, NH3-N and TP loads of the point source were 26300 t/a, 5496.9 t/a, and 463.55 t/a. The point source accounts for 72% of COD, 96% of NH3-N, and 94% of TP of the whole year. The COD, NH3-N and TP loads of the non-point source were 8608 t/a, 99.8 t/a and 18 t/a. The COD, NH3-N and TP loads of the overflow in rainy season (April to September) were 1894.05 t, 118.95 t and 12.81 t. 2) The COD, NH3-N and TP loads in Shenzhen Bay basin in 2015 were 116.5 t/d, 15.75 t/d and 1.412 t/d; the sewage outlets and the leakage sewage to tributary were the largest proportion of all source during the dry season. The COD, NH3-N and TP loads of the point source were 71.94 t/d, 15.06 t/d, and 1.27 t/d during the dry season. During the rainy season, the non-point source COD accounted for the largest proportion (34.21%), followed by and the leakage sewage to tributary and the sewage outlets, which were 28.73% and 22.3%. 3) Due to a large amount of pollutant load were transported into the waterbody, the pollutant load from non-point source and overflow considerably effected the water quality during the rainy season that could not be ignored, especially in the rainy days, and it took a long time to return to normal water quality.

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Hydrology Effect Evaluation of Green Infrastructure Based on HSPF: A Case Study on Dalang River Basin
XING Yinghua, CHENG Xiang, QIN Huapeng, ZHAO Zhijie
Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Pekinensis    2018, 54 (5): 1053-1059.   DOI: 10.13209/j.0479-8023.2018.019
Abstract860)   HTML    PDF(pc) (17362KB)(157)       Save

Taking Dalang River Basin, Shenzhen city of Guangdong Province as an example, HSPF model was used to simulate hydrological effects of rainfall runoff under different scenarios. The results showed that runoff rate of the efficacy maximization, economical and moderate scenario were decreased by 34.9%, 14.2% and 28.5% than that in background scenario. The peak value of these three scenarios were lower 40.5%, 19.8% and 33.0% than that in background scenario. Base flow of these three scenarios were higher 88.9%, 11.1% and 44.4% than that in background scenario. The economical scenario didn’t reach good effect. The effect of moderate scenario was better than economical scenario and inferior to efficacy maximization scenario.

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Characteristics of Pollutants Flush on Different Types of Underlying Surface in Changzhou
ZHANG Xiangli, ZHAO Zhijie, QIN Huapeng, JIANG Yan
Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Pekinensis    2018, 54 (3): 644-654.   DOI: 10.13209/j.0479-8023.2017.176
Abstract1158)   HTML9)    PDF(pc) (1248KB)(301)       Save

The purpose of the study is flush characteristics of urban runoff pollutant on different underlying surface. Select 5 typical hardened surfaces in Changzhou City and monitor the change process of rainfall runoff pollutant from March to August in 2015. The results showed that event mean concentrations (EMC) of pollutants in road runoff were higher than that of roof runoff. For road runoff, SS concentration was higher than the water quality standards by 1.34 times; COD concentration was higher than the water quality standards by 2.59 times. For the roof runoff, COD concentration was higher than the water quality standards by 1.8 times; and TN concentration was higher than the water quality standards by 2.6 times. For the roof runoff, the dissolved-bound fraction was 72.78% for COD, 57.99% for TN. For road runoff, the dissolved-bound fraction was 61.59% for TN. The pollutant concentrations were commonly higher at the initial stage, while decreased with prolonging of the rainfall time and gradually became stable at the later stage. The initial concentrations of pollutants from the underlying surface were as follows: concrete ground, asphalt ground, paved ground, flat roof and slope roof. During the rain flush, the concentration of pollutants on the underlying surface increases with the increase of the intensity of the rain which was fluctuated. The intensity of the first flush intensity varied by surface and was most intense for the flat roof, followed by the slope roof, then the asphalt road and finally the concrete road. Rainfall in pre-period was intensive and pollutant concentration was exponentially attenuated. When rainfall changes smoothly, the concentration of pollutants was stable firstly and then attenuation. When the rainfall was sparse in pre-period and intensive in the late-period, the curves of pollutant change type was multi-peak type. The index flush model had good effect to pollutant runoff simulation, the flush coefficients of COD on the slope roof, flat roof, and concrete road were 0.871, 0.765, and 0.025 mm−1, the roof flush intensity was much larger than the ground. The flush coefficient of dissolved-bound of COD and granular-bound of COD was similar on the slope roof. The flush coefficient of granular-bound of COD was greater than the dissolved-bound of COD on the flat roof and the concrete road.

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Temporal and Spatial Distribution Characteristic Research of Water Environmental Capacity in Moyang River Basin
CHENG Xiang, ZHAO Zhijie, QIN Huapeng, SONG Baomu, YU Xiangying, HE Kangmao
Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Pekinensis    2016, 52 (3): 505-514.   DOI: 10.13209/j.0479-8023.2016.029
Abstract1328)   HTML    PDF(pc) (2249KB)(1257)       Save

This study takes Moyang River basin, which is lack of hydrologic data, as the research object to simulate the temporal and spatial distribution of water flow through HSPF (hydrological simulation program-Fortran) model, and calculates the temporal and spatial distribution of chemical oxygen demand (COD) and ammonia nitrogen water environmental capacity using one-dimensional steady-state water quality mathematical model. Results show that 1) HSPF model’s yearly and monthly hydrological errors are below 15%, Nash-Sutcliffe coefficient is over 0.9; the relative error of the water quality model is around 10%, Nash-Sutcliffe coefficient over 0.8. 2) Under 90%, 50% and 10% assurance rate, COD capacity of Moyang River basin is 164500 t, 218400 t and 249700 t respectively, and ammonia nitrogen is 5100 t, 8800 t and 11400 t respectively. Affected by seasonal runoff fluctuations, difference of water environment capacity between dry season and wet season is obvious. The variation of water environment capacity in January is minimum and June the maximum. 3) Bearing capacity of main stream of Moyang River is larger than that of the primary and secondary tributaries. Therefore, in some basins where hydrological data is lack, HSPF model can be applied to simulate the hydrology, analysis time and space distribution of water environmental capacity, and provide guidance for the establishment of total amount control scheme of water environmental capacity.

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Temporal and Spatial Change of Land Use/Cover and Quantitative Analysis on the Driving Forces in the Yellow River Delta
ZHANG Chengyang,ZHAO Zhijie
Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Pekinensis   
Abstract752)      PDF(pc) (10737KB)(172)       Save
Remote sensing images of 2000, 2004 and 2010 are interpreted for analysis of temporal and spatial change of land use/cover. The result reveals that the total area is in dynamic change and the main land use/cover type has been changed from saline to cultivated land in the Yellow River Delta. There has been a rapid growth in urban land and rural residential land during 2000?2010. By using Logistic regression, conclusion is drawn that six geographical factors including elevation, slope, distance to the nearest reservoir, town, river and major road and 4 social and economic factors including population density, gross domestic product, fiscal revenue, and total industrial output are the main driving factors of land use/cover change in the Yellow River Delta. In addition, regional planning has a significant impact on land use/cover change by designating prohibited development areas.
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Control Studies of Peak Flow and Non-point Source Pollution for Urbanized Area Based on SWMM
WANG Rong,QIN Huapeng,ZHAO Zhijie
Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Pekinensis   
Abstract762)      PDF(pc) (2352KB)(750)       Save
To avoid urban waterlogging and control non-point source pollution, the characters and controls of non-point source pollution for urbanized area by field monitoring and simulating with SWMM were studied, and the effect with LID or BMPs in impermeable area was assessed. Results show that, as a discrete control device for rainfall runoff, LID could decrease the runoff coefficient, peak flow and non-point source pollution effectively. BMPs also could decrease peak flow and non-point source pollution for area studied but it had no effect on runoff volume control. Finally, it could decrease peak flow and non-point source pollution more efficient with the two measures combined utilization and minish the runoff coefficient at the same time.
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Effects and Drawbacks of Environmental Impact Assessment in Avoiding NIMBY
HE Yi,ZHAO Zhijie
Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Pekinensis   
Abstract818)      PDF(pc) (495KB)(505)       Save
According to the difficulties in dealing with town and country planning, management and movement caused by NIMBY (Not in my back yard), the effects and relevant issues of EIA (environmental impact assessment) in avoiding NIMBY were analyzed based on Xi’erqi case of kitchen waste treatment station in Beijing and the relevant data analysis. The results showed that EIA provided ways for information disclosure and public participation, and in such a way EIA actually improved the degree and range of participation of affected group. However, drawbacks such as low degree of familiarity, lack of trust, less integrity of system and standards, deficiency of technology were still the main restrictive factors of EIA in solving NIMBY problem. Further recommendation and implementation were provided based on related research of EIA effectiveness and NIMBY: foster trust among participants, perfect the laws and institutions system, optimize conceptual design and operating platform of EIA, strengthen technology research of EIA.
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Adjustment of Haikou City Ecosystem Services Value Based on Habitat Quality and Ecological Location
GAO Ling,ZHAO Zhijie,ZHANG Hao,GUAN Xuebin,XIAO Ming
Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Pekinensis   
Hydrological Effect Assessment of Low Impact Development for Urbanized Area Based on SWMM
WANG Wenwen,ZHAO Zhijie,QIN Huapeng
Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Pekinensis   
Ecological Suitability Assessment of Urban Land Use Based on GIS: Synthesis of Ecological Footprint Analysis and Eco-system Service
ZHANG Hao,ZHAO Zhijie
Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Pekinensis   
Abstract840)            Save
In the case of developmental zone along Taizhou River, the authors added two important indicators (ecological footprint analysis and ecological service value) into evaluation system for improving the evaluation framework. Single factor assessment with GIS/RS technology was carried out, of which this two factors on the ecological suitability classification was mainly discussed. Weights of all factors were determined by hierarchical analysis. Finally, map of ecological suitability assessment of urban land use could be generated through overlaying of all single factor assessment layers, making the ecological suitability classes more scientifically and obtaining urban land constructiveness. The results show that the approach with ecological footprint and ecological service functions value as important indices is quite necessary for the ecological suitability classification, and the result is more reasonable and suitable for the regional sustainable development.
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Temporal and Spatial Change of Land Use/Cover in the Area of Lower Reaches of Urumchi River
XIE Jinkai,ZHAO Zhijie
Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Pekinensis   
Abstract592)            Save
Based on analyzing and interpreting the TM and ETM + remote sensing images at three temporal stages in 1989, 1999 and 2007, the land use/ cover change in the are of lower reaches of Urumuchi River in recent 18 years, in both spatial and temporal aspects, was studied with the tools of geographical information system ( GIS) . Conclusions are drawn as follows: From 1989 to 2007, the built-up area increased and urbanization in study area was obvious. The area of farmland, grassland and woodland increase in recent 18 years and the area of salinity and water extende quickly in the 1990s. By analyzing the indexes of individual land use/ cover dynamic change, it is found that both the gain rate and the loss rate of woodland are high for the lower survival rate of the local plantation. Meanwhile, there is notable difference of land use/cover change among districts. Urbanization in Shuimogou District and Xinshi District are most significant in recent 18 years.
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Study on Changes of Heavy Metal in Sediments of Weiminghu Lake of Peking University
JIA Zhenbang,ZHAO Zhijie,AN Kai,XIA Zhengkai,ZHENG Gongwang
Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Pekinensis   
Abstract660)            Save
According to the sedimentation, a preliminary assessment was conducted on the polluted standard of the heavy metals in the deposit of the lake, in use of Igeo. The polluted standard of the metals in the deposit is at a very low level. The variance between the particle diameter of the upper and the lower parts of the sediment is the main cause of the changing regularity of the elements.
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The Oscillation Trend and Mechanism of the COD Level of the Liaohe River
CHANG Yuanfei,JIA Zhenbang,ZHAO Zhijie,FANG Zhigang,JIA Yuxia
Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Pekinensis   
Abstract681)            Save
The monitoring hydro-data of 8 sections from Fudedian to Zhaoquanhe along the main stream of Liaohe River are collected and analyzed. The Nemero indexes for the water pollution of Liaohe river are calculated and illustrated in diagrams. The results show that the principals of the spatial-temporal COD level changes in the main stream of Liaohe River. Also, two obvious characteristics of COD pollution are found out: (1) the absolute COD level is very high in this river; (2) the ratio of COD/BOD is significantly higher than average. And the phenomena are explained in detail in this paper from multiple aspects such as industrial point pollution, soil and water losses, municipal sewage,agricultural water pollution and etc, based on the relationship analysis between COD, SS and water quality parameters.
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Environmental Impact of Jiangbi Industry Park in Shenzhen to Water Area of Dongbao River and Pearl River Mouth
JIA Zhenbang,ZHAO Zhijie,YANG Xiaomao,LI Juemin,WEI Sihua
Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Pekinensis   
Abstract744)            Save
Jiangbi Industry Park is lined out from Jiangbian village and Bitou village, there have been some metals machining, plating factories since 1997. To find out the present environmental condition of water area around Jiangbi Industry Park and then to assess the impact to water area from the industry park, we sampled and analyzed the water, sediments and fished inside Jiangbi industry park and in Yangchong river, Maozhou river, Dongbao river and Pearl river mouth. The result indicates that the water area around Jiangbi Industry Park was severely polluted by heavy metals. The local government must think much of environmental pollution, strengthen environmental management, execute the law strictly, and control the development.
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Secondary Phase Enrichment Factor for Evaluation of Heavy Metal Pollution of Sediment in the Chai River
JIA Zhenbang,HUO Wenyi,ZHAO Zhijie,TAO Shu
Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Pekinensis   
Abstract722)            Save
A method of secondary phase evrichment factor for evaluation of heavy metal pollution in sediment was proposed.A case study was carride out for the Chai River based of field samping and analysis. The approach was compared with currently used methods.
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The Application of the Index of Geoaccumulation to Evaluate Heavy Metal Pollution in Sediments in the Benxi Section of the Taizi River
JIA Zhenbang,ZHOU Hua,ZHAO Zhijie,TAO Shu,ZHANG Baoquan,ZHAO Lihua
Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Pekinensis   
Abstract645)            Save
Based on the principle of sedimentology and the environmental behavior characteristics of heavy metals, The Index of Geoaccumulation (Igeo) is used to evaluate heavy metal pollution in sediments in the Benxi section of the Taizi River. The results show that heavy metal pollution in the sediments are serious. The main heavy metal pollutions are copper, lead, zinc, cadmium and mercury.
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